Probability of fuzzy events

نویسندگان

  • Ondřej Pavlačka
  • Pavla Rotterová
چکیده

In economic practice, we often deal with events that are defined only vaguely. Such indeterminate events can be modelled by fuzzy sets. In the paper, we examine two main ways of expressing a probability of fuzzy events that are proposed in the literature. We study their mathematical properties and discuss their interpretation. We conclude that none of the approaches gives an appropriate probability of a fuzzy event, and thus, that the question ”How should the probability of a fuzzy event be expressed?” is still an open problem.

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تاریخ انتشار 2014